The South Carolina Election Commission released some stunning news on Sunday regarding the GOP Primary on Saturday. While John McCain won the primary, Election Commission records indicate that he did NOT win with a majority of registered Republicans.
Only 30% of the McCain vote came from registered Republicans. A whopping 70% of his vote came from Independents and Democrats, who are allowed to vote in S.C.'s 'open primary' system.
These particular persons will be in for a shock next Saturday if they expect to vote in the state's Democratic primary. While S.C. allows anyone to vote in either the GOP or the Democratic Primaries, a voter can only participate in ONE of the two, not both.
Thus, registered Democrats who decided to vote in the Republican primary to prevent candidates such as Thompson or Huckabee from winning will be in for a shock next Saturday if they try to vote in the Democratic Primary.
They will not be allowed to vote.
The fact that McCain won only with the support of Independents and Democrats is very telling. Most of the remainder of the state primaries are not open primaries, and thus, only Republicans will be allowed to vote in most of the remaining GOP primaries.
And this, my friends, means that John McCain may be in deep trouble.
It is entirely unclear at this point who registered Republicans actually prefer. My hunch is that their vote is split between Giuliani, Romney, Huckabee, McCain, and Thompson.
In addition, McCain faces a dire uphill struggle in Florida, where Giuliani has been quietly working on his organization and getting out the early vote and the absentee votes.
And this is why I say it is not over by a long shot. It may not even be over on Super Tuesday. I make no predictions on this, but this could be the year of a brokered GOP Convention.
So, stay tuned and stay motivated. It's not over until it's over, and the fight for the soul of the Republican Party may well go right into the national convention in the summer.
Showing posts with label South Carolina primary. Show all posts
Showing posts with label South Carolina primary. Show all posts
Monday, January 21, 2008
Saturday, January 19, 2008
This Is It: S.C. GOP Primary Today
Polls open in South Carolina at 7 AM this morning for the Republican Presidential Primary. No Republican thus far has won the GOP nomination without winning South Carolina.
The Democrats in the state will be holding their primary NEXT Saturday, January 27.
Although polls show John McCain in the lead going into tomorrow's primary, one central factor may well spell trouble for the Senator. McCain and S.C. Senator Lindsey Graham spearheaded President Bush's plan to grant amnesty to illegal aliens--a bill that the citizens beat down with their sheer outrage.
Although McCain and Graham have toned down their rhetoric concerning the issue after the voters made their anger heard, the two are still not really getting the message that Americans want to end sanctuary cities and incentives for illegals to flood the country such as tuition breaks and free medical care, and they want illegals to get in the back of the line where honorable persons seek to enter the country legally.
A vote for McCain is not going to do one whit to end the present disastrous policies toward immigration.
With that said, I have already said all that I need to say.
The Liberty Sphere will keep you updated on any pertinent, late-breaking info as the vote proceeds.
Check back with us later in the evening for the results. And, by the way, we will be casting our vote for Fred Thompson.
The Democrats in the state will be holding their primary NEXT Saturday, January 27.
Although polls show John McCain in the lead going into tomorrow's primary, one central factor may well spell trouble for the Senator. McCain and S.C. Senator Lindsey Graham spearheaded President Bush's plan to grant amnesty to illegal aliens--a bill that the citizens beat down with their sheer outrage.
Although McCain and Graham have toned down their rhetoric concerning the issue after the voters made their anger heard, the two are still not really getting the message that Americans want to end sanctuary cities and incentives for illegals to flood the country such as tuition breaks and free medical care, and they want illegals to get in the back of the line where honorable persons seek to enter the country legally.
A vote for McCain is not going to do one whit to end the present disastrous policies toward immigration.
With that said, I have already said all that I need to say.
The Liberty Sphere will keep you updated on any pertinent, late-breaking info as the vote proceeds.
Check back with us later in the evening for the results. And, by the way, we will be casting our vote for Fred Thompson.
Tuesday, January 01, 2008
Major Poll Shows McCain in First Place
Could it be true?
We have heard reports out of New Hampshire that GOP Presidential hopeful John McCain's crowds have dramatically swelled in recent days and that there is a new buzz being generated about the candidate that he is the one to watch.
On the heels of those reports comes the news, released yesterday, that McCain is in first place in a major poll released over the weekend.
Two things to consider: first, this is the only poll among the top polling organizations that places McCain in the lead, and second, his lead in this particular poll is tenuous. At least three other candidates are within easy striking distance...Thompson, Romney, and Huckabee.
The biggest news of all, however, lays buried within the poll results--news that seems to be confirmed across the board among ALL of the major polling organizations. That news is that Rudy Giuliani's stock has been devalued--dramatically.
The former New York City Mayor has experienced a sharp decline in support over the past three months, totally dropping out of the top tier of candidates in some polls. He barely registers at all in Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina--the three early primary states.
Aides to the Mayor state that his strategy has been to focus on later primary states that carry huge delegate counts, such as Florida and others.
But this is a risky endeavor, particularly if someone emerges from the first three primaries with momentum.
McCain's stock has risen for three basic reasons--one, the success of the resurgence in Iraq, for which McCain had advocated for years and which has resulted in a dramatic drop in violence; two, his maturity, experience, and wisdom that are vital in a dangerous world; and three, his willingness to amend his positions on issues that do not find widespread support among the voters.
When the electorate takes him to the woodshed over his support of amnesty for illegal aliens and the McCain-Feingold debacle, McCain listens.
Thus, McCain has a good chance at winning New Hampshire. But he has troubles down the line.
So, stay tuned. It's getting very interesting out there. And Iowa looms large on Thursday of this week.
We have heard reports out of New Hampshire that GOP Presidential hopeful John McCain's crowds have dramatically swelled in recent days and that there is a new buzz being generated about the candidate that he is the one to watch.
On the heels of those reports comes the news, released yesterday, that McCain is in first place in a major poll released over the weekend.
Two things to consider: first, this is the only poll among the top polling organizations that places McCain in the lead, and second, his lead in this particular poll is tenuous. At least three other candidates are within easy striking distance...Thompson, Romney, and Huckabee.
The biggest news of all, however, lays buried within the poll results--news that seems to be confirmed across the board among ALL of the major polling organizations. That news is that Rudy Giuliani's stock has been devalued--dramatically.
The former New York City Mayor has experienced a sharp decline in support over the past three months, totally dropping out of the top tier of candidates in some polls. He barely registers at all in Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina--the three early primary states.
Aides to the Mayor state that his strategy has been to focus on later primary states that carry huge delegate counts, such as Florida and others.
But this is a risky endeavor, particularly if someone emerges from the first three primaries with momentum.
McCain's stock has risen for three basic reasons--one, the success of the resurgence in Iraq, for which McCain had advocated for years and which has resulted in a dramatic drop in violence; two, his maturity, experience, and wisdom that are vital in a dangerous world; and three, his willingness to amend his positions on issues that do not find widespread support among the voters.
When the electorate takes him to the woodshed over his support of amnesty for illegal aliens and the McCain-Feingold debacle, McCain listens.
Thus, McCain has a good chance at winning New Hampshire. But he has troubles down the line.
So, stay tuned. It's getting very interesting out there. And Iowa looms large on Thursday of this week.
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