Hillary Up 8 to 10 in Penn

She started out the evening with over 60% of the vote in the early-going and then settled down to anywhere from 8-10 percentage points over Barack Obama. At one point Hillary Clinton was as low as 6 points ahead of Obama, but then her numbers began to edge back up.

As of this writing, Hillary is ahead 55-45% in the Pennsylvania Democratic Primary, with 75% of the vote tallied. She is expected to finish with an 8-10 point margin of victory.

The big news of the evening, however, is that Barack Obama appears to have blown his chances at winning the white vote in some sectors of the state. The demographics show that white voters overwhelmingly went Hillary's way, particularly in upstate Pennsylvania and in rural areas, where in some counties she beat him by over 20 percentage points.

One such county in particular shows Clinton winning nearly 70% of the total vote.

Obama, on the other hand, did not do as well as expected in suburban areas near Philadelphia, where he split the vote with Hillary or beat her by a much smaller percentage than projected.

The ONLY demographic group that Obama has won in Pennsylvania is African-Americans, where he beat Clinton handily.

Apparently, everyone else in Pennsylvania got the message that Obama sent their way, albeit unintended and inadvertent, that people in small towns and rural areas are bitter and cling to their guns and religion for comfort.

Obviously these particular voters disagree with Obama, for they defected from his ranks faster than bats out of hell.

So what does all of this mean for the Democratic Presidential nomination process?

First, Hillary Clinton is not out of it by a long shot. Second, she can claim a decisive moral victory, much greater than a 3-5% win which Obama would have claimed was tantamount to a loss. Third, she picks up a truckload of the popular vote. Fourth, she can make a case to the Democratic super-delegates that she is the one who has won most of the larger states. And fifth, she can legitimately raise the question of Obama's vulnerability.

The second big news of the night is the percentage of Democratic voters who state they will defect to John McCain if their preferred candidate loses. Over 20% of Clinton supporters say they will vote for McCain if Hillary loses. A whopping 30% of Obama voters say they will vote for McCain if Barack loses.

No doubt this is giving Democratic Party officials a bad case of gastro-intestinal malaise.

But stay tuned, folks. If somehow the Democrats can manage to pull off a ticket with both Clinton and Obama on it, it will be the Republicans hugging the toilet.

Second Amendment News Roundup for 4/22/08

Focusing on guns and politics, here is today's Second Amendment News Roundup:

For up-to-the-minute live blogging and news information on today's Democratic Primary in Pennsylvania, click here to go to philly.com:
http://www.philly.com/philly/news/politics/

Michelle Malkin also blogs on the voting today in PA:
http://michellemalkin.com/2008/04/22/pennsylvania-speaks/

Today is 'earth day,' and Malkin shows that the wacko environmentalists wish to destroy capitalism as part of their plan to 'save the planet':
http://michellemalkin.com/2008/04/21/celebrate-earth-day-destroy-capitalism/

Sebastian comments on the primary today in his home state:
http://www.snowflakesinhell.com/2008/04/22/yes-its-primary-day/

Mike McCarville says that so far there has been a record voter turnout in PA:
http://wwwtmrcom.blogspot.com/2008/04/record-voter-turnout-seen-in.html

And now, on to other news. FreedomSight has a MUST-read today on the information being taught to future citizens of the U.S. You might be shocked:
http://freedomsight.net/?p=2449

Dustin gives an example of the danger of honking your horn at an illegal alien:
http://dustinsgunblog.blogspot.com/2008/04/dont-honk-at-illegal-alien.html

David Hardy at Of Arms and the Law says that Hillary and McCain can sleep easy--Michael Moore has endorsed Obama (and when Moore endorses a candidate, they are doomed):
http://armsandthelaw.com/archives/2008/04/clinton_and_mcc.php

Dr. John Lott catches Obama in yet more lies as he tries, once again, to pretend he is pro-gun:
http://johnrlott.blogspot.com/2008/04/obama-again-pretends-to-be-pro-gun.html

Dr. Lott also reports good news out of Virginia Tech. The college has a very large student group that support concealed carry:
http://johnrlott.blogspot.com/2008/04/virginia-tech-has-very-large-students.html

Alphecca reports that machine guns will be legalized in Kansas:
http://www.alphecca.com/?p=726

Robb Allen blogs on gun-grabber Bryan Miller:
http://blog.robballen.com/archive/2008/04/22/Bryan-Miller-in-Wonderland.aspx

Armed and Safe clears up a bit of confusion over assault weapons:
http://armedandsafe.blogspot.com/2008/04/has-assault-weapons-ban-been-reinstated.html

Bitter writes about Obama's last-minute rally in an area made up of Clinton supporters:
http://www.thebitchgirls.us/?p=8140

The incomparably articulate Peggy Noonan (former speech writer for President Reagan) has written about the Obamas, and Born Again Redneck has it:
http://bornagainredneck.blogspot.com/2008/04/peggy-noonan-groks-obamas.html

Breda has great news about her concealed carry written test. Congrats, Breda!:
http://thebredafallacy.blogspot.com/2008/04/blog-post.html

Nicki opines about Michael Bloomberg, mayor of New York City. And yes, he is a bastard:
http://libertyzone.blogspot.com/2008/04/i-really-hate-this-guy.html

The War on Guns writes on 'preying on the weak and stupid':
http://waronguns.blogspot.com/2008/04/preying-on-weak-and-stupid.html

Traction Control provides a link to a bit of gun porn:
http://tractioncontrol.well-regulatedmilitia.org/?p=1050

Tam reminds us that Earth Day falls on Lenin's birthday, and she is doubtful it is a coincidence:
http://booksbikesboomsticks.blogspot.com/2008/04/coincidence.html

The Buckeye Firearms Association reports that Hillary Clinton is the mainstream media's definition of 'pro-gun':
http://www.buckeyefirearms.org/node/5609

Clinton Appears Headed for Victory in PA

Hillary Rodham Clinton appears headed for victory today in the Pennsylvania Democratic Primary. Tracking polls indicate a steady Clinton lead, and the average of these polls indicate a 51% to 44% victory for Clinton.

This is far short of the double-digit win she needs over Obama to claim a major mandate by the voters in Pennsylvania, but it is impressive nonetheless.

Clinton could still eek out a 10% victory margin over Obama if voter turnout in Pittsburgh and the state's small towns and rural areas is heavy. Philadelphia, however, is expected to go heavily in favor of Obama.

One major item to watch as the vote tally comes in this evening: Philly will probably be one of the last areas to report its vote counts, meaning that in the early going Hillary will appear to have a massive lead.

But don't be fooled. As the evening wears on and the Philadelphia vote is counted, her lead will be greatly reduced.

Second Amendment News Roundup for 4/21/08

Focusing on guns and politics, here is today's Second Amendment News Roundup:

Sebastian reports this bombshell a day before the Pennsylvania Democratic Primary--Barack Obama is funding gun control:
http://www.snowflakesinhell.com/2008/04/21/obama-funds-gun-control/

This should be a hate-America lovefest--liberal Bill Moyers is interviewing America-hater Rev. Jeremiah Wright (Barack Obama's mentor, spiritual guide, and Pastor). Michelle Malkin has the story:
http://michellemalkin.com/2008/04/21/a-blame-america-bonanza-bill-moyers-to-interview-jeremiah-wright/

Mike McCarville reports that Hillary maintains a strong lead in Pennsylvania the day before the primary, with most polls showing her ahead by 8-10 percentage points:
http://wwwtmrcom.blogspot.com/2008/04/clinton-maintains-pennsylvania-poll_21.html

McCarville also says that Obama has gone negative on Oklahoma Republican Tom Coburn and that John McCain came to Coburn's defense, ripping into Obama's below-the-belt remarks:
http://wwwtmrcom.blogspot.com/2008/04/mccain-rips-obama-for-coburn-remark.html

In light of Barack Obama's recent dissing of gun owners, John Lott asks and answers the question, 'Are Gun Owners Really Bitter?':
http://johnrlott.blogspot.com/2008/04/are-gun-owners-really-bitter.html

JR says there will be an extra special treat for those attending the NRA annual meeting:
http://akeyboardanda45.blogspot.com/2008/04/something-else-to-look-forward-to-at.html

Eugene Volokh has interesting commentary today on the statement, 'I knew nobody who owned a gun':
http://volokh.com/archives/archive_2008_04_20-2008_04_26.shtml#1208728377

Alphecca shows us the 'idiot of the day':
http://www.alphecca.com/?p=724

Tam blogs about 'no guns allowed' in Chicago:
http://booksbikesboomsticks.blogspot.com/2008/04/no-guns-allowed.html

Armed and Safe has a post entitled, 'Mandating Laser Guns':
http://armedandsafe.blogspot.com/2008/04/mandating-laser-guns.html

'The Root of the Problem' is David Codrea's latest article for GUNS magazine:
http://waronguns.blogspot.com/2008/04/shameless-plug-root-of-problem.html

Nicki writes on 'Gun Control, Hillary Style':
http://libertyzone.blogspot.com/2008/04/gun-control-hillary-style.html

Born Again Redneck has a thorough report on Barack Obama's radical Marxist friend, Bill Ayers:
http://bornagainredneck.blogspot.com/2008/04/obamas-radical-marxist-friend.html

The Bitch Girls provide a bit of perspective for John McCain's chances of winning the Presidency:
http://www.thebitchgirls.us/?p=8137

Cap'n Bob and the Damsel write about stripping the Remington 870 following target shooting yesterday:
http://capnbob.us/blog/2008/04/20/stripping-the-remington-870/

Robb Allen describes how the ignorance of guns and journalists simply do not mix:
http://blog.robballen.com/archive/2008/04/21/Ignorance-of-guns-and-journalists-simply-do-not-mix.aspx

Of Arms and the Law has a MUST-read entitled, 'Joyce Foundation, Heller Case, and Obama':
http://armsandthelaw.com/archives/2008/04/joyce_foundatio_10.php

Uncle has caught the New York Times in yet another barefaced lie:
http://www.saysuncle.com/archives/2008/04/21/when-the-correction-is-a-lie/

Oscar Poppa announces that he is bowing out of the blogging enterprise, I am sad to say:
http://oscarpoppa.us/?p=858

Ryan Horsely at Red's Trading Post reports that Glock will increase prices on its magazines by 40%:
http://redstradingpost.blogspot.com/2008/04/glock-magazines-will-increase-40-in-may.html

Jack Pribec has this to say about the biofuels-driven food vs. oil crisis:
http://pribek.net/2008/04/20/food-vs-oil-its-on/

The Eve of the Pennsylvania Democratic Primary

The scramble for the prize of Pennsylvania's delegates to the Democratic National Convention culminates tomorrow as Democrats in the state head for the polls.

Two major trends bear watching.

One, a new national poll shows that for the first time in many months Hillary Clinton has reclaimed the lead over Barack Obama among Democratic voters. On the other hand, another poll shows Obama maintaining his lead, albeit much smaller than just a week ago.

Two, polls in Pennsylvania seem to indicate that Democratic voters are breaking Hillary's way, but we have been fooled by such tracking polls in the past.

Just after Obama's verbal assault on the citizens of Pennsylvania while speaking to a group of San Francisco Democratic Party elites, one poll showed Obama's support plummet faster than a buzzard headed for some road kill. That poll showed Hillary ahead by a whopping 20 points.

No doubt the Illinois Senator has rebounded a bit since the debacle, but it is entirely unclear as to whether or not he has rebounded enough to win. My hunch is that he hasn't.

Thus, if I were placing bets my money would be on Hillary for the Pennsylvania prize. And even if she beats him by only single digits, that win will ensure that she stays in the race to the end.