If They Can't Predict Hurricanes, How Can They Predict Climate?

For two years in a row, hurricane forecasters have totally missed the mark on predicting the number of storms and their intensity. In fact, this year is on the mark toward becoming the most inactive hurricane season in 30 years.

The last time the Atlantic basin was this quiet was in 1977.

Of course, we still have a month to go in this year's hurricane season. Things could always change, but realistically such a thing is highly unlikely this late in the year.

In addition, have you noticed that the National Hurricane Center has begun naming storms that do not become hurricanes? Time was that only hurricanes were named. Thus, using today's methodology the number of named storms is higher than normal. This is due to the number of tropical storms that did not reach hurricane strength.

According to Algore, Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., and others in the political movement known as 'the environmentalist movement,' the last two years should have been two of the most active hurricane seasons on record, due to the effects of 'global warming.'

The standard wisdom of the 'politically correct' environmentalists is that global warming would result in more hurricanes with higher intensity. Of course, for the past two years that prediction has totally missed the mark.

The result has been a devastating drought that has brought severe water shortages in the southeastern and southern states.

The obvious question that arises to the surface in the midst of these embarrassing erroneous predictions is, if forecasters can't accurately predict a hurricane season a couple of months prior to June, then how can they be trusted to predict the future climate of the planet years or decades from now?

One more nail in the coffin of the environmental alarmists is the latest NASA satellite imagery from space, which shows that the ozone hole over Antarctica has almost returned to normal. This means that the planet has been basically healing itself of the destructive effects of ozone over the Antarctic region.

For a full comparative analysis of hurricane predictions and the actual storms that occurred over the last few years, click here:
http://www.coaps.fsu.edu/~maue/tropical/