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Monday, April 30, 2007

New Poll: Obama Edges Passed Hillary

Washington, DC (TLS). A new Rasmussen poll just released today shows that Barack Hussein Obama has for the first time edged passed Hillary Clinton in the race for the Democratic Presidential nomination.

If likely Democratic voters were to make their choice today, Obama would win by 32%. Hillary would get 30% of the vote. John Edwards would come in third with 17%. The other candidates would lag far behind with totals under 5%.

This poll is significant in that it is the very first time since the start of the campaign that Obama has surged ahead of Hillary, who up until now has been the front-runner. But even more significant is the trend that these poll results show.

For the past 6 weeks or so, pollsters have noted a shift in voter preferences among Democrats. Hillary has been gradually losing support, particularly among those under the age of 40. Obama has been gaining steadily. The Rasmussen organization sees no indication that this trend will reverse in the near future.

However, it is to be noted that the razor-thin lead for Obama falls within the 4% margin of error. Thus, statistically, Obama and Hillary are tied.

The poll also notes that Hillary has opened a broad lead among voters over the age of 65--those who are most likely to vote. Conversely, Obama has opened a major lead among voters under the age of 40--those who are less likely to vote.

Thus, the battle is for those voters who are between the ages of 40 and 65.

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