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Showing posts with label the Great Depression. Show all posts
Showing posts with label the Great Depression. Show all posts

Saturday, August 08, 2009

Don't Trust Gov't's 'Good Economic News'

Despite the news that the unemployment rate dropped slightly in July, we still lost 250,000 jobs. The numbers weren't quite as bad as the gov't had anticipated.

But Obama and company took to the airwaves to tout his programs and to claim he 'saved America from economic catastrophe.

Americans should take the supposed 'good news' with a grain of salt. The actual unemployment figures for the U.S.--using the same criteria used throughout much of the 20th century--is 16.9% instead of 9.4%.

This is due to the fact that the government no longer counts those that are 'under-employed'--those who are forced to work part time when they need full time jobs to make it.

In addition, a sustained recovery is simply not possible with deficits and a national debt being what they are, in the multi-trillion status. We have never been down this road before in American history. Even the Great Depression did not see deficit spending and a national debt like this.

Western Rifle Shooters Association posts an excellent article concerning the inevitability of a continued downturn in the economy.

Sunday, April 19, 2009

Barefaced Lies About Current Unemployment Rate

The mainstream media is reporting that the latest unemployment figures have reached historic proportions, particularly in California, where the jobless rate stands at 11%, supposedly 'the highest ever.'

That statement is blatantly FALSE.

Read my column at Columbia Conservative Examiner to get the real story.

Here's a clue. During the Great Depression of the 1930s, the unemployment rate went to 25% nationwide. So how can a jobless rate of 11% be deemed 'the highest ever?'

More mainstream media, partisan BULLssshhttt, that's how.

Thursday, February 26, 2009

Obama's Policy Flaw Similar to Hoover's in 1932

As I have written before on The Liberty Sphere, the notion that a tax increase should be levied against the wealthy in hard economic times is a serious flaw doomed for failure. None other than Herbert Hoover attempted this policy initiative in 1932 during one of the nation's most severe recessions.

The result was that a severe recession turned into the Great Depression within a matter of a few short months.

And this is my topic of discussion today at Columbia Conservative Examiner.

Yesterday's article created quite a stir among those who apparently have a very fuzzy view of history. In today's article I attempt to correct such thinking by providing the facts from the era.

Once again, I urge you to read it and pass it along to everyone you can think of. And thanks!

Thursday, November 06, 2008

Democrats' Tax Increases Will Doom Recovery

As I wrote here last week, an increase in taxes on anyone during troubled economic times is a prescription for disaster.

The very last thing the Congress and the new President need to do in order to address the current market anxiety and the troubles in the housing and banking industries is to raise taxes.

Herbert Hoover and the Congress made that very mistake in 1932 in an attempt to address a severe recession that was on the brink of becoming a depression.

The top tax rate for the wealthiest Americans was raised from 25% to 63%. Immediately the nation's economic woes vastly worsened. Unemployment skyrocketed to nearly 25%, the money supply dried up, and GNP only continued to plunge.

1932 and 1933 were the worst years during the horrid economic times of the 1930s...a full 4 years after the stock market crash.

The only major economic policy change that occurred prior to the 2 worst years of the Depression was the tax increase on the wealthy.

Thus, the tax increase only served to make a bad situation worse, a survivable hardship dire.

A reader asked if I had the specific figures to back up my assertions. Here is what I wrote in response:

'Recession' and 'depression' are relative terms based upon comparisons. As you will see from the facts, what occurred from 1929 until Hoover's massive tax increases early in 1932 was nothing compared to what took place following that fateful mistake.

When the stock market crashed in 1929 the country was already in the midst of a recession. That recession became severe following the crash. But it was not until late in 1930 that the first 'run on the banks' occurred, followed by a wave of bankruptcies.

But even by the end of 1930, fully a year after the market crash, unemployment was at 8.7%--roughly the same as with other severe recessions the nation has experienced since then, such as during the 1970s.

In the Spring of 1931, there was a second run on the banks resulting in more panic. By the end of the year unemployment had risen to 15.9%--very high to be sure.

But what happened in 1932 was the proverbial straw that broke the camel's back. The President and the Congress approved raising the top income tax rate from 25% to a whopping 63%. Unemployment then skyrocketed from 15.9% to a massive 23.6%.

1933 was even worse. Unemployment rose from 23.6% to 25%, and the nation was firmly in the death grip of low wages, low profits, a greatly diminished money supply, and a GNP that fell yet another 2.1% following the free-fall of the years between 1929 and 1932.

Thus, history shows that the nation's hard economic times were at their peak, that is, at their very worst, in the years 1932 and 1933--immediately after Hoover and Congress raised taxes significantly on the wealthiest Americans.

Even FDR's New Deal did not end the Great Depression. While unemployment fell to 21.7% in 1934--FDR's 2nd year in office--the unemployment rate by the end of 1938 was still a whopping 19%--a full 6 years into FDR's presidency.

Only when the nation began to make preparations for our entry into WWII did the Great Depression end. That was in 1939--the year FDR began to vastly expand the military. From 1939 until 1941, the nation gradually pulled out of the Depression, thanks to the build-up of goods and hardware in anticipation of entering WWII.

So, you tell me, based on the evidence of history, available in any history textbook or other works on the period, what other major economic policy changed between 1931 and 1932-33, other than the massive tax increase?

There was none. The tax increase on the wealthiest Americans plunged the nation into the 2 worst years of the crisis, 1932-33.

Hope that helps. But do your own research, and keep an open mind.

Thus, the absolute worst thing Obama and the Democrats could do in this troubled economic climate is to raise taxes. Yet this is precisely what they plan to do in order to give '95% of Americans a tax cut,' 45 million of whom do not even pay taxes to begin with.

And we have yet to find out just what exactly constitutes 'the wealthy' in the minds of our newly chosen ones. First, it was $250,000, then $200,000, then $150,000, and then just prior to the election it was stated to be $120,000.

Raising taxes on this income level may well be the final straw that pushes our economy over the edge into the next Great Depression.

And don't forget that this is on top of the massive tax increase that will hit ALL Americans when the Democrats and Obama allow the Bush tax cuts to expire in 2010.

Remember you heard it right here first, folks. We will have economic hell to pay if these policies are implemented.

Friday, October 31, 2008

2nd Great Depression? Obama Tax Plan Mirrors Herbert Hoover's

Economic analysts in government and in the media have stated that the present financial crisis in America is 'the worst since the Great Depression.'

Maybe, maybe not.

It depends on what we do now.

The Great Depression began in the early 1930s following a deep recession resulting from the infamous Stock Market crash in 1929. From 1929 until 1932 the U.S. suffered from a recession, not a depression. But that recession was nothing compared to what would follow when President Herbert Hoover made one fatal mistake in 1932.

Most historians and economists trace the beginning of The Great Depression to a program initiated by the administration of President Herbert Hoover to place a hefty tax surcharge on all those making over $100,000 per year.

Remember, this was 1932, and $100,000 was considered wealthy.

The act put the economy in an immediate tailspin from which it never recovered until the U.S. entered World War II. From 1932 until the U.S. joined the War in 1941, America was held in the death-grip of a deep economic depression that threw millions out of work and onto the long bread lines.

In many ways the U.S. is presently in circumstances greatly similar to those of 1929-1932. We are on the brink of recession; some would maintain that recession has already begun.

Further, we have a Presidential candidate who proposes massive tax increases on capital and those who create wealth and jobs, similar to Herbert Hoover's tax policy in 1932.

It is a simple fact of economics that you cannot avoid economic meltdown during a recession if you hit capital and those who create wealth and jobs with hefty tax increases.

In the name of giving a tax cut to '95% of Americans,' 40% of whom have been shown to pay no taxes at all to begin with, Barack Obama would place a hefty tax burden on the very ones who are in a position to help the country dig out of a recession and avoid a possible depression.

To tax those who use their wealth to fuel the economy is tantamount to economic suicide for the nation. If Obama and the Democrats are allowed to raise those taxes we could well see the beginning of the 2nd Great Depression within the next year.

In other words, if you think it's bad now, 'you ain't seen nothing yet.'